What prediction markets moved on
Published here every morning. Email edition launching soon: join the list to get it first.
Biggest moves, 24h
- UNLV vs. New Mexico — UNLV — Polymarket 13¢ → 100¢ (+87¢)
- UNLV vs. New Mexico — New Mexico — Polymarket 88¢ → 0¢ (-87¢)
- UNLV vs. New Mexico — UNLV — Kalshi 13¢ → 100¢ (+87¢)
- UNLV vs. New Mexico — New Mexico — Kalshi 88¢ → 1¢ (-87¢)
- Stanford vs. Virginia Tech — Stanford — Kalshi 14¢ → 100¢ (+86¢)
- Stanford vs. Virginia Tech — Virginia Tech — Kalshi 87¢ → 1¢ (-86¢)
Where the exchanges disagree
- New Zealand vs. India — New Zealand: Kalshi 90¢ vs Polymarket 100¢ (+10¢)
- Next James Bond actor? — Robert Pattinson: Kalshi 61¢ vs Polymarket 51¢ (-10¢)
- Next CEO of NVIDIA? — Nikesh Arora: Kalshi 8¢ vs Polymarket 4¢ (-4¢)
Most traded on both
- New Zealand vs. India — New Zealand 90¢ Kalshi / 100¢ Polymarket
- Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu — Billy Harris 53¢ Kalshi / 52¢ Polymarket
- NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion — Georgia Bulldogs 35¢ Kalshi / 34¢ Polymarket
- North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i — North Dakota State 93¢ Kalshi / 92¢ Polymarket
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Jon Ossoff 26¢ Kalshi / 26¢ Polymarket