Daily brief

Daily brief · 2026-11-15

What prediction markets moved on

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Biggest moves, 24h

  1. UNLV vs. New Mexico — UNLV — Polymarket 13¢ → 100¢ (+87¢)
  2. UNLV vs. New Mexico — New Mexico — Polymarket 88¢ → 0¢ (-87¢)
  3. UNLV vs. New Mexico — UNLV — Kalshi 13¢ → 100¢ (+87¢)
  4. UNLV vs. New Mexico — New Mexico — Kalshi 88¢ → 1¢ (-87¢)
  5. Stanford vs. Virginia Tech — Stanford — Kalshi 14¢ → 100¢ (+86¢)
  6. Stanford vs. Virginia Tech — Virginia Tech — Kalshi 87¢ → 1¢ (-86¢)

Where the exchanges disagree

  1. New Zealand vs. India — New Zealand: Kalshi 90¢ vs Polymarket 100¢ (+10¢)
  2. Next James Bond actor? — Robert Pattinson: Kalshi 61¢ vs Polymarket 51¢ (-10¢)
  3. Next CEO of NVIDIA? — Nikesh Arora: Kalshi 8¢ vs Polymarket 4¢ (-4¢)

Most traded on both

  1. New Zealand vs. India — New Zealand 90¢ Kalshi / 100¢ Polymarket
  2. Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu — Billy Harris 53¢ Kalshi / 52¢ Polymarket
  3. NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion — Georgia Bulldogs 35¢ Kalshi / 34¢ Polymarket
  4. North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i — North Dakota State 93¢ Kalshi / 92¢ Polymarket
  5. Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Jon Ossoff 26¢ Kalshi / 26¢ Polymarket

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