Daily brief · 2026-11-02

What prediction markets moved on

Biggest moves, 24h

No tracked contract moved more than 2¢ in the price history available for this day.

Where the exchanges disagree

  1. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? — Benjamin Netanyahu: Kalshi 19¢ vs Polymarket 33¢ (+14¢)
  2. Michigan Senate Election Winner — Mike Rogers (R): Kalshi 22¢ vs Polymarket 18¢ (-4¢)
  3. Presidential Election Winner 2028 — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: Kalshi 9¢ vs Polymarket 13¢ (+4¢)

Most traded on both

  1. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms — Democrats Sweep 71¢ Kalshi / 72¢ Polymarket
  2. Texas Senate Election Winner — James Talarico (D) 75¢ Kalshi / 76¢ Polymarket
  3. Michigan Senate Election Winner — Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79¢ Kalshi / 82¢ Polymarket
  4. Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14¢ Kalshi / 16¢ Polymarket
  5. Iowa Senate Election Winner — Ashley Hinson (R) 53¢ Kalshi / 54¢ Polymarket