Prediction markets today

Biggest odds moves on Kalshi and Polymarket in the last 24 hours, and where the two exchanges disagree. Updated hourly.

Biggest moves, 24h

Price history is still being collected. Movers appear after a few hours of data.

Widest disagreements

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Kalshi vol $193KPolymarket 24h $1.2M
OutcomeKalshiPolymarketGap
Gadi Eizenkot27¢40¢+13¢
Benjamin Netanyahu19¢34¢+15¢
Naftali Bennett2¢5¢+3¢
Avigdor Lieberman7¢4¢-3¢
Yossi Cohen1¢1¢0¢
Israel Katz1¢1¢0¢
Yair Lapid1¢0¢-1¢
Amir Ohana1¢0¢-1¢

NBA: 2026-27 MVP

Kalshi vol $105KPolymarket 24h $56K
OutcomeKalshiPolymarketGap
Victor Wembanyama33¢35¢+2¢
Luka Doncic26¢29¢+3¢
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander14¢11¢-3¢
Tyrese Maxey5¢5¢0¢
Jayson Tatum10¢3¢-7¢
Cade Cunningham3¢2¢-1¢
Giannis Antetokounmpo4¢2¢-2¢
Cooper Flagg3¢2¢-1¢

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Kalshi vol $359KPolymarket 24h $293K
OutcomeKalshiPolymarketGap
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez9¢13¢+4¢
Gavin Newsom14¢12¢-2¢
Jon Ossoff12¢10¢-2¢
Marco Rubio12¢10¢-2¢
Kamala Harris3¢4¢+1¢
Josh Shapiro2¢3¢+1¢
Pete Buttigieg2¢3¢+1¢
Ron DeSantis2¢2¢0¢

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Kalshi vol $5.4MPolymarket 24h $1.7M
OutcomeKalshiPolymarketGap
Abdul El-Sayed (D)79¢80¢+1¢
Mike Rogers (R)23¢20¢-3¢

Blue wave in 2026?

Kalshi vol $580KPolymarket 24h $53K
OutcomeKalshiPolymarketGap
Blue wave in 2026?89¢92¢+3¢