Daily brief

Daily brief · 2026-11-07

What prediction markets moved on

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Biggest moves, 24h

  1. Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC — Maccabi Tel Aviv FC — Polymarket 89¢ → 0¢ (-88¢)
  2. Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC — Maccabi Tel Aviv FC — Kalshi 89¢ → 1¢ (-88¢)
  3. Atlante FC vs. Club Santos Laguna — Club Santos Laguna — Polymarket 32¢ → 100¢ (+68¢)
  4. Atlante FC vs. Club Santos Laguna — Club Santos Laguna — Kalshi 32¢ → 100¢ (+68¢)
  5. Club Necaxa vs. Club Tijuana — Club Necaxa — Kalshi 37¢ → 100¢ (+63¢)
  6. Club Necaxa vs. Club Tijuana — Club Necaxa — Polymarket 38¢ → 100¢ (+62¢)

Where the exchanges disagree

  1. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? — Benjamin Netanyahu: Kalshi 7¢ vs Polymarket 21¢ (+14¢)
  2. Fresno State vs. Utah State — Utah State: Kalshi 63¢ vs Polymarket 51¢ (-12¢)
  3. Anthropic IPO by __? — November 16, 2026: Kalshi 11¢ vs Polymarket 2¢ (-9¢)

Most traded on both

  1. TCU vs. Arizona — Arizona 78¢ Kalshi / 82¢ Polymarket
  2. Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Jon Ossoff 25¢ Kalshi / 27¢ Polymarket
  3. Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — J.D. Vance 34¢ Kalshi / 37¢ Polymarket
  4. Mississippi Senate Election Winner — Scott Colom (D) 99¢ Kalshi / 99¢ Polymarket
  5. India Tour of New Zealand ODIs: New Zealand vs India — India 92¢ Kalshi / 94¢ Polymarket

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