Daily brief

Daily brief · 2026-11-09

What prediction markets moved on

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Biggest moves, 24h

  1. Querétaro FC vs. Club Puebla — Club Puebla — Polymarket 22¢ → 99¢ (+78¢)
  2. Querétaro FC vs. Club Puebla — Club Puebla — Kalshi 23¢ → 100¢ (+77¢)
  3. Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC — Sunderland AFC — Kalshi 27¢ → 97¢ (+70¢)
  4. BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel — Adrian Mannarino — Kalshi 86¢ → 22¢ (-64¢)
  5. BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel — Toby Samuel — Kalshi 15¢ → 79¢ (+64¢)
  6. Packers vs. Patriots — Patriots — Kalshi 62¢ → 1¢ (-61¢)

Where the exchanges disagree

  1. Vitesse Arnhem vs. De Graafschap — De Graafschap: Kalshi 16¢ vs Polymarket 2¢ (-14¢)
  2. Next James Bond actor? — Josh O'Connor: Kalshi 25¢ vs Polymarket 12¢ (-13¢)
  3. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? — Benjamin Netanyahu: Kalshi 10¢ vs Polymarket 20¢ (+10¢)

Most traded on both

  1. Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter — Edward Winter 53¢ Kalshi / 52¢ Polymarket
  2. Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Jon Ossoff 25¢ Kalshi / 26¢ Polymarket
  3. Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette — Janice Tjen 78¢ Kalshi / 78¢ Polymarket
  4. Next Press Secretary? — Anna Kelly 16¢ Kalshi / 13¢ Polymarket
  5. Bills vs. Vikings — Bills 62¢ Kalshi / 62¢ Polymarket

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