What prediction markets moved on

Biggest moves, 24h

1. Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille — Olympique de Marseille — Polymarket 11¢ → 100¢ (+89¢)
2. Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille — Olympique de Marseille — Kalshi 11¢ → 100¢ (+89¢)
3. Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb — GNK Dinamo Zagreb — Polymarket 16¢ → 100¢ (+84¢)
4. Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb — GNK Dinamo Zagreb — Kalshi 16¢ → 100¢ (+84¢)
5. SC União Torreense vs. Ararat-Armenia FA — SC União Torreense — Polymarket 20¢ → 100¢ (+80¢)
6. SC União Torreense vs. Ararat-Armenia FA — SC União Torreense — Kalshi 20¢ → 100¢ (+80¢)

Where the exchanges disagree

1. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? — Benjamin Netanyahu: Kalshi 8¢ vs Polymarket 24¢ (+16¢)
2. Next James Bond actor? — Callum Turner: Kalshi 47¢ vs Polymarket 36¢ (-11¢)
3. Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? — Marco Rubio: Kalshi 21¢ vs Polymarket 16¢ (-5¢)

Most traded on both

1. Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Jon Ossoff 26¢ Kalshi / 28¢ Polymarket
2. Mississippi Senate Election Winner — Scott Colom (D) 97¢ Kalshi / 98¢ Polymarket
3. Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — J.D. Vance 35¢ Kalshi / 38¢ Polymarket
4. Fed Decision in December? — 25 bps increase 67¢ Kalshi / 67¢ Polymarket
5. Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Alexandre Muller — Yosuke Watanuki 79¢ Kalshi / 78¢ Polymarket