All comparisons

Next James Bond actor?: Kalshi vs Polymarket odds

Jack Lowden: 52¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. Polymarket is 10¢ cheaper for "Yes".

Next James Bond actor?

Kalshi vol $27KPolymarket 24h $52K
OutcomeKalshiPolymarketGap
Jack Lowden52¢42¢-10¢
Callum Turner37¢29¢-8¢
Josh O'Connor18¢9¢-9¢
Jack Barton12¢2¢-10¢
Joe Alwyn3¢2¢-1¢
Tom Francis3¢1¢-2¢
Jack O'Connell5¢1¢-4¢
James Norton3¢1¢-2¢

Price history

Why the same contract has two prices

Kalshi and Polymarket run separate order books with different traders, so prices drift apart. Fees differ, and liquidity differs by market. Check each exchange's resolution rules before treating a gap as free money: small wording differences can mean the contracts are not identical.

Where can you trade it?

Kalshi and Polymarket US availability depends on your state, and sports contracts are blocked in some states. Check your state.

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