Daily brief

Daily brief · 2026-11-10

What prediction markets moved on

Published here every morning. Email edition launching soon: join the list to get it first.

Biggest moves, 24h

  1. Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Filip Jeff Planinsek — Andres Martin — Polymarket 98¢ → 3¢ (-95¢)
  2. Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Filip Jeff Planinsek — Filip Jeff Planinsek — Polymarket 2¢ → 97¢ (+95¢)
  3. Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Filip Jeff Planinsek — Andres Martin — Kalshi 99¢ → 5¢ (-94¢)
  4. Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Filip Jeff Planinsek — Filip Jeff Planinsek — Kalshi 2¢ → 96¢ (+94¢)
  5. Counter-Strike: 9INE vs FOKUS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #11 Playoffs — 9INE — Polymarket 13¢ → 100¢ (+87¢)
  6. Counter-Strike: 9INE vs FOKUS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #11 Playoffs — FOKUS — Polymarket 87¢ → 0¢ (-87¢)

Where the exchanges disagree

  1. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? — Benjamin Netanyahu: Kalshi 10¢ vs Polymarket 23¢ (+13¢)
  2. Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors — Portland Pilots: Kalshi 93¢ vs Polymarket 86¢ (-7¢)
  3. New Zealand legislative election winner? — National Party: Kalshi 92¢ vs Polymarket 98¢ (+6¢)

Most traded on both

  1. Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Jon Ossoff 26¢ Kalshi / 28¢ Polymarket
  2. Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors — Portland Pilots 93¢ Kalshi / 86¢ Polymarket
  3. Presidential Election Winner 2028 — Jon Ossoff 20¢ Kalshi / 18¢ Polymarket
  4. Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — J.D. Vance 34¢ Kalshi / 31¢ Polymarket
  5. Next French Presidential Election — Marine Le Pen 50¢ Kalshi / 45¢ Polymarket

Archive