What prediction markets moved on
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Biggest moves, 24h
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D — Team Spirit — Polymarket 95¢ → 0¢ (-94¢)
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D — Froglings — Polymarket 6¢ → 100¢ (+94¢)
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D — Team Spirit — Kalshi 94¢ → 1¢ (-93¢)
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D — Froglings — Kalshi 7¢ → 100¢ (+93¢)
- Tunisia vs. Libya — Libya — Kalshi 8¢ → 100¢ (+92¢)
- Tunisia vs. Libya — Libya — Polymarket 9¢ → 99¢ (+91¢)
Where the exchanges disagree
- Next James Bond actor? — Robert Pattinson: Kalshi 55¢ vs Polymarket 35¢ (-20¢)
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? — Gadi Eizenkot: Kalshi 51¢ vs Polymarket 64¢ (+13¢)
- Anthropic IPO by __? — November 16, 2026: Kalshi 6¢ vs Polymarket 0¢ (-6¢)
Most traded on both
- Fed Decision in December? — 25 bps increase 90¢ Kalshi / 89¢ Polymarket
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Jon Ossoff 26¢ Kalshi / 26¢ Polymarket
- Next CEO of NVIDIA? — Ian Buck 26¢ Kalshi / 24¢ Polymarket
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — J.D. Vance 35¢ Kalshi / 32¢ Polymarket
- UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) — Ciryl Gane 67¢ Kalshi / 67¢ Polymarket