What prediction markets moved on

Biggest moves, 24h

1. Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A — Froglings — Kalshi 89¢ → 1¢ (-88¢)
2. Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A — Power Rangers — Kalshi 13¢ → 100¢ (+87¢)
3. Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A — Froglings — Polymarket 77¢ → 0¢ (-76¢)
4. Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A — Power Rangers — Polymarket 24¢ → 100¢ (+76¢)
5. Michigan State Spartans vs. Duke Blue Devils — Duke Blue Devils — Polymarket 75¢ → 0¢ (-74¢)
6. Knoxville: Alastair Gray vs Darwin Blanch — Alastair Gray — Kalshi 30¢ → 94¢ (+64¢)

Where the exchanges disagree

1. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? — Benjamin Netanyahu: Kalshi 11¢ vs Polymarket 23¢ (+12¢)
2. Next French Presidential Election — Édouard Philippe: Kalshi 5¢ vs Polymarket 9¢ (+4¢)
3. Anthropic IPO by __? — November 20, 2026: Kalshi 95¢ vs Polymarket 92¢ (-3¢)

Most traded on both

1. Fed Decision in December? — 25 bps increase 85¢ Kalshi / 86¢ Polymarket
2. Presidential Election Winner 2028 — Jon Ossoff 19¢ Kalshi / 17¢ Polymarket
3. NC-03 House Election Winner — Raymond Smith Jr. (D) 99¢ Kalshi / 99¢ Polymarket
4. Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Jon Ossoff 26¢ Kalshi / 27¢ Polymarket
5. Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — J.D. Vance 34¢ Kalshi / 31¢ Polymarket