What prediction markets moved on

Biggest moves, 24h

1. M15 Hua Hin: Oscar Brown vs James Van Herzeele — Oscar Brown — Kalshi 89¢ → 1¢ (-88¢)
2. Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Inner Circle (BO3) - European Pro League Group A — Spirit Academy — Kalshi 85¢ → 1¢ (-84¢)
3. M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Sergi Perez Contri vs Matteo Gribaldo — Matteo Gribaldo — Kalshi 17¢ → 100¢ (+83¢)
4. M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Sergi Perez Contri vs Matteo Gribaldo — Sergi Perez Contri — Kalshi 84¢ → 1¢ (-83¢)
5. M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Sergi Perez Contri vs Matteo Gribaldo — Sergi Perez Contri — Polymarket 78¢ → 2¢ (-76¢)
6. M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Sergi Perez Contri vs Matteo Gribaldo — Matteo Gribaldo — Polymarket 22¢ → 99¢ (+76¢)

Where the exchanges disagree

1. Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? — Howard Lutnick: Kalshi 47¢ vs Polymarket 38¢ (-9¢)
2. Anthropic IPO by __? — November 16, 2026: Kalshi 7¢ vs Polymarket 0¢ (-7¢)
3. Next French Presidential Election — Marine Le Pen: Kalshi 52¢ vs Polymarket 46¢ (-6¢)

Most traded on both

1. Fed Decision in December? — 25 bps increase 89¢ Kalshi / 89¢ Polymarket
2. Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren — August Holmgren 93¢ Kalshi / 94¢ Polymarket
3. India Tour of New Zealand ODIs: New Zealand vs India — New Zealand 98¢ Kalshi / 96¢ Polymarket
4. Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Jon Ossoff 26¢ Kalshi / 26¢ Polymarket
5. Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — J.D. Vance 36¢ Kalshi / 34¢ Polymarket