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Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal: Kalshi vs Polymarket odds

Kilian Feldbausch: 83¢ on Kalshi, 81¢ on Polymarket. Polymarket is 2¢ cheaper for "Yes".

Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal

Kalshi vol $1.3MPolymarket 24h $53K
OutcomeKalshiPolymarketGap
Kilian Feldbausch83¢81¢-2¢
Sumit Nagal16¢20¢+4¢

Price history

Why the same contract has two prices

Kalshi and Polymarket run separate order books with different traders, so prices drift apart. Fees differ, and liquidity differs by market. Check each exchange's resolution rules before treating a gap as free money: small wording differences can mean the contracts are not identical.

Where can you trade it?

Kalshi and Polymarket US availability depends on your state, and sports contracts are blocked in some states. Check your state.

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