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Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata: Kalshi vs Polymarket odds

Luca Van Assche: 61¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket. Kalshi is 1¢ cheaper for "Yes".

Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata

Kalshi vol $19KPolymarket 24h $8K
OutcomeKalshiPolymarketGap
Luca Van Assche61¢62¢+1¢
Rinky Hijikata40¢39¢-1¢

Why the same contract has two prices

Kalshi and Polymarket run separate order books with different traders, so prices drift apart. Fees differ, and liquidity differs by market. Check each exchange's resolution rules before treating a gap as free money: small wording differences can mean the contracts are not identical.

Where can you trade it?

Kalshi and Polymarket US availability depends on your state, and sports contracts are blocked in some states. Check your state.

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