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Sopo: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz: Kalshi vs Polymarket odds

Live · prices refresh every 10 minutes

Carole Monnet: 100¢ on Kalshi, 82¢ on Polymarket. Polymarket is 18¢ cheaper for "Yes".

Sopo: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz

Kalshi 24h $1.5MPolymarket 24h $178K2 outcomes
OutcomeKalshiPolymarketGap
Carole Monnet100¢82¢-18¢
Leyre Romero Gormaz1¢19¢+18¢

Price history

42¢49¢56¢ 11-1011-10

Kalshi vs Polymarket, hourly, 2 observations

Why the same contract has two prices

Kalshi and Polymarket run separate order books with different traders, so prices drift apart. Fees differ, and liquidity differs by market. Check each exchange's resolution rules before treating a gap as free money: small wording differences can mean the contracts are not identical.

Before you trade

Use the fee and break-even calculator to see your all-in cost, or the gap calculator to check whether this price difference survives fees. Related reading: why the price you see isn't your fill, how markets resolve, and how often the two exchanges disagree.

Where can you trade it?

Kalshi and Polymarket US availability depends on your state, and sports contracts are blocked in some states. Check your state.

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