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What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (November 10): Kalshi vs Polymarket odds

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The One About Matthew Perry: Season 1: 96¢ on Kalshi, 96¢ on Polymarket. Both exchanges price it the same.

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (November 10)

Kalshi 24h $13KPolymarket 24h $13K7 outcomes
OutcomeKalshiPolymarketGap
The One About Matthew Perry: Season 196¢96¢0¢
Nobody Wants This: Season 31¢1¢0¢
The Fall of El Mayo: Limited Series1¢0¢-1¢
From: Season 11¢0¢-1¢
Love Is Blind: S11: Boston1¢0¢-1¢
Black Doves: Season 21¢0¢-1¢
Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 11¢0¢-1¢

Price history

Why the same contract has two prices

Kalshi and Polymarket run separate order books with different traders, so prices drift apart. Fees differ, and liquidity differs by market. Check each exchange's resolution rules before treating a gap as free money: small wording differences can mean the contracts are not identical.

Before you trade

Use the fee and break-even calculator to see your all-in cost, or the gap calculator to check whether this price difference survives fees. Related reading: why the price you see isn't your fill, how markets resolve, and how often the two exchanges disagree.

Where can you trade it?

Kalshi and Polymarket US availability depends on your state, and sports contracts are blocked in some states. Check your state.

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