Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?: Kalshi vs Polymarket odds
Benjamin Netanyahu: 14¢ on Kalshi, 8¢ on Polymarket. Polymarket is 6¢ cheaper for "Yes".
Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 14¢ | 8¢ | -6¢ |
| Naftali Bennett | 1¢ | 0¢ | -1¢ |
| Yair Lapid | 1¢ | 0¢ | -1¢ |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 1¢ | 0¢ | -1¢ |
| Yair Golan | 1¢ | 0¢ | -1¢ |
Why the same contract has two prices
Kalshi and Polymarket run separate order books with different traders, so prices drift apart. Fees differ, and liquidity differs by market. Check each exchange's resolution rules before treating a gap as free money: small wording differences can mean the contracts are not identical.
Where can you trade it?
Kalshi and Polymarket US availability depends on your state, and sports contracts are blocked in some states. Check your state.