All comparisons

W35 Hamamatsu: Ayano Shimizu vs Minami Suzuki: Kalshi vs Polymarket odds

Ayano Shimizu: 99¢ on Kalshi, 99¢ on Polymarket. Both exchanges price it the same.

W35 Hamamatsu: Ayano Shimizu vs Minami Suzuki

Kalshi vol $684KPolymarket 24h $12K
OutcomeKalshiPolymarketGap
Ayano Shimizu99¢99¢0¢
Minami Suzuki2¢2¢0¢

Why the same contract has two prices

Kalshi and Polymarket run separate order books with different traders, so prices drift apart. Fees differ, and liquidity differs by market. Check each exchange's resolution rules before treating a gap as free money: small wording differences can mean the contracts are not identical.

Where can you trade it?

Kalshi and Polymarket US availability depends on your state, and sports contracts are blocked in some states. Check your state.

Related comparisons