TIME Person of the Year 2026: Kalshi vs Polymarket odds
Zohran Mamdani: 31¢ on Kalshi, 29¢ on Polymarket. Polymarket is 2¢ cheaper for "Yes".
TIME Person of the Year 2026
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zohran Mamdani | 31¢ | 29¢ | -2¢ |
| Pope Leo XIV | 17¢ | 14¢ | -3¢ |
| Mark Carney | 14¢ | 14¢ | 0¢ |
| James Talarico | 15¢ | 13¢ | -2¢ |
| Dario Amodei | 9¢ | 6¢ | -3¢ |
| Donald Trump | 5¢ | 6¢ | +1¢ |
| Marco Rubio | 5¢ | 5¢ | 0¢ |
| Victor Glover | 5¢ | 4¢ | -1¢ |
Why the same contract has two prices
Kalshi and Polymarket run separate order books with different traders, so prices drift apart. Fees differ, and liquidity differs by market. Check each exchange's resolution rules before treating a gap as free money: small wording differences can mean the contracts are not identical.
Where can you trade it?
Kalshi and Polymarket US availability depends on your state, and sports contracts are blocked in some states. Check your state.