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Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot: Kalshi vs Polymarket odds

Harold Mayot: 59¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket. Kalshi is 1¢ cheaper for "Yes".

Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot

Kalshi vol $25KPolymarket 24h $19K
OutcomeKalshiPolymarketGap
Harold Mayot59¢60¢+1¢
Jan Kumstat42¢41¢-1¢

Why the same contract has two prices

Kalshi and Polymarket run separate order books with different traders, so prices drift apart. Fees differ, and liquidity differs by market. Check each exchange's resolution rules before treating a gap as free money: small wording differences can mean the contracts are not identical.

Where can you trade it?

Kalshi and Polymarket US availability depends on your state, and sports contracts are blocked in some states. Check your state.

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