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Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz: Kalshi vs Polymarket odds

Carlos Alcaraz: 84¢ on Kalshi, 83¢ on Polymarket. Polymarket is 1¢ cheaper for "Yes".

Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz

Kalshi vol $28KPolymarket 24h $15K
OutcomeKalshiPolymarketGap
Carlos Alcaraz84¢83¢-1¢
Alex Michelsen18¢18¢0¢

Why the same contract has two prices

Kalshi and Polymarket run separate order books with different traders, so prices drift apart. Fees differ, and liquidity differs by market. Check each exchange's resolution rules before treating a gap as free money: small wording differences can mean the contracts are not identical.

Where can you trade it?

Kalshi and Polymarket US availability depends on your state, and sports contracts are blocked in some states. Check your state.

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