Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maria Timofeeva: Kalshi vs Polymarket odds
Maria Timofeeva: 61¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket. Kalshi is 6¢ cheaper for "Yes".
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maria Timofeeva
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Timofeeva | 61¢ | 67¢ | +6¢ |
| Sorana Cirstea | 39¢ | 34¢ | -5¢ |
Why the same contract has two prices
Kalshi and Polymarket run separate order books with different traders, so prices drift apart. Fees differ, and liquidity differs by market. Check each exchange's resolution rules before treating a gap as free money: small wording differences can mean the contracts are not identical.
Where can you trade it?
Kalshi and Polymarket US availability depends on your state, and sports contracts are blocked in some states. Check your state.