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Matsuyama: Jay Dylan Friend vs Yusuke Kusuhara: Kalshi vs Polymarket odds

Jay Dylan Friend: 79¢ on Kalshi, 83¢ on Polymarket. Kalshi is 4¢ cheaper for "Yes".

Matsuyama: Jay Dylan Friend vs Yusuke Kusuhara

Kalshi vol $246KPolymarket 24h $10K
OutcomeKalshiPolymarketGap
Jay Dylan Friend79¢83¢+4¢
Yusuke Kusuhara21¢17¢-4¢

Why the same contract has two prices

Kalshi and Polymarket run separate order books with different traders, so prices drift apart. Fees differ, and liquidity differs by market. Check each exchange's resolution rules before treating a gap as free money: small wording differences can mean the contracts are not identical.

Where can you trade it?

Kalshi and Polymarket US availability depends on your state, and sports contracts are blocked in some states. Check your state.

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