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BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego: Kalshi vs Polymarket odds

Lorenzo Sonego: 93¢ on Kalshi, 94¢ on Polymarket. Kalshi is 1¢ cheaper for "Yes".

BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego

Kalshi vol $280KPolymarket 24h $92K
OutcomeKalshiPolymarketGap
Lorenzo Sonego93¢94¢+1¢
Olle Wallin8¢7¢-1¢

Why the same contract has two prices

Kalshi and Polymarket run separate order books with different traders, so prices drift apart. Fees differ, and liquidity differs by market. Check each exchange's resolution rules before treating a gap as free money: small wording differences can mean the contracts are not identical.

Where can you trade it?

Kalshi and Polymarket US availability depends on your state, and sports contracts are blocked in some states. Check your state.

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