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BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo: Kalshi vs Polymarket odds

Juan Manuel Cerundolo: 73¢ on Kalshi, 72¢ on Polymarket. Polymarket is 1¢ cheaper for "Yes".

BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Kalshi vol $10KPolymarket 24h $67K
OutcomeKalshiPolymarketGap
Juan Manuel Cerundolo73¢72¢-1¢
Elias Ymer28¢28¢0¢

Why the same contract has two prices

Kalshi and Polymarket run separate order books with different traders, so prices drift apart. Fees differ, and liquidity differs by market. Check each exchange's resolution rules before treating a gap as free money: small wording differences can mean the contracts are not identical.

Where can you trade it?

Kalshi and Polymarket US availability depends on your state, and sports contracts are blocked in some states. Check your state.

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